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Vol 272 No 7298 p568
8 May 2004

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News feature

Will new deal lead to lower drug prices?

The Government is currently renegotiating the Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme with the pharmaceutical industry and a new deal is due to come into force in October. Jenny Bryan spoke to some of those who will be affected by the outcome


It used to be said that only two people understood the Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme and one of them was dead! The PPRS aims to control drug company profits and prices in the UK, and teams from the Department of Health and the Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry are currently negotiating a new deal, scheduled to come into force in October 2004.

In front of them is a variety of options, ranging from simply continuing the current agreement, signed in 1999, for another five years, to abandoning the PPRS altogether, and letting the NHS take on the industry over drug prices.

Neither party in the negotiations will talk about the options but, on the industry side, there is a sense of safety in a system that has become familiar over nearly 50 years.

The PPRS covers around 80 per cent of all branded drugs used in primary and secondary care in the NHS, but excludes generics. Under the present agreement, any pharmaceutical company with annual sales to the NHS of over £25m has to submit data to a 15-strong team at the DoH on its UK sales, costs, assets and profitability. Each company is allowed to make a return on capital of up to 21 per cent. If a company exceeds its profit target by more than 40 per cent it has to repay the excess, either as a lump sum or through reductions in the prices of its drugs.

Under the PPRS, pharmaceutical companies can set their own prices for newly licensed products when they first reach the market, and it is important that they get the price right first time because they are unlikely to have a second chance. Prices of drugs can only be raised — with DoH agreement — if profits fall below 17 per cent.

When the current PPRS agreement was signed in 1999, the DoH imposed a 4.5 per cent reduction in drug prices, which the DoH calculates is saving the NHS some £200m each year. Nevertheless, UK prices are now the highest in Europe (partly because of the strong pound) with only Germany and Ireland coming close.

Drugs bill rising fast

The NHS drugs bill has been rising fast, fuelled partly by the Government’s own initiatives, such as the National Service Framework for Coronary Heart Disease. At the same time the working environment of the NHS has changed dramatically since the last PPRS agreement was signed in 1999. As a result, there are those from both industry and NHS backgrounds who favour the most radical option on the negotiating table: deregulation.

“Things have changed so much that talking about the PPRS is like talking another language on another planet in a different universe,” says industry commentator Roy Lilley, a founder member of the NHS Trust Federation, now the NHS Confederation.

He would like to see more so-called “reverse auctions”, in which NHS trusts tell companies how much of a product they need, and get them to down-bid each other for the business. In return for the lower prices he believes would result, he thinks that companies should get longer patent protection for its most innovative products.

The question is whether, even with their newly acquired business acumen, trusts would have the negotiating skills, or the desire, to take on the pharmaceutical companies.

American view

Also outspoken in its support for deregulation of price controls is the American Pharmaceutical Group (APG) which represents the 11 US companies with bases in the UK. In its response to the DoH consultation document on the PPRS issued last autumn, the APG argued that less regulation could help stimulate research in the UK and bring products to the clinic more quickly.

“The result would be cost benefits for the NHS and taxpayer by providing patients with early access to innovative medicines that reduce or eliminate the need for more costly invasive and inpatient treatment,” said the APG.

US pharmaceutical companies are more comfortable working in the deregulated environment that operates in the US than with the PPRS in the UK. But with Government figures showing US drug prices to be roughly double what they are here, who would not?

So, if complete deregulation is unlikely to be acceptable to the DoH, at least in the run up to a general election, what could be the most likely outcome of the current discussions?

There is a widespread expectation that, as in other European countries, the pharmaceutical industry will have to accept a cut in overall drug prices when the new PPRS is signed, probably comparable with the 4.5 per cent they agreed in 1999. In return, companies will certainly hope to be allowed to continue to set prices for new drugs. They only have to look across the channel to France to see the delays in getting new drugs on the market when companies are required to negotiate the price of each new drug with the government.

Alan Jones, previously with Glaxo-Wellcome and now a health policy analyst with ajc healthcare, points out that new drug prices are pretty realistic. “The UK market is more price-sensitive than it used to be, and companies don’t go for huge prices with new products. They tend to come in at prices that are very similar to those of drugs that are already on the market,” he says.

He believes that the industry might reasonably argue for higher prices for new drugs with proven cost-effectiveness benefits at launch and, in the future, those with pharmacogenetic data to support their value in specific groups of patients.

“ For low volume, targeted products, the industry might reasonably argue for a more relaxed approach to pricing,” he says.

Considerable room for manoeuvre also lies in the so-called grey area around which each company’s profitability is calculated, based on its capital expenditure, research and development, etc. More allowance could be made for a firm’s R&D record, but the Government is unlikely to increase the amount that companies can spend on promotion, currently limited to about 7 per cent of NHS sales.

Effect of NICE and parallel imports

In its consultation document, the DoH did not include two issues that the industry would argue have taken a substantial toll on profitability: the National Institute for Clinical Excellence and parallel imports. But they are undoubtedly going to be raised in negotiations.

Pharmaceutical companies argue that “NICE blight” can seriously delay the uptake of a new medicine while purchasers and formulary committees await the results of technology assessments before giving products the go-ahead. The parallel import trade has increased considerably since the last PPRS agreement and now costs the industry an estimated £1.4bn per year.

How the industry could be compensated within the PPRS for the impact of NICE and parallel imports is unclear. But they will certainly feature high on the ABPI’s list of reasons to make the new agreement more industry-friendly. The “grey area” could become greyer; promises could be made for further deregulation after the next election.

Indeed, there is no requirement for a new deal to come into force in October. The Government could agree an extension of the current arrangements this year and set up a review board to consider the future of the PPRS within the new NHS. But that would mean even more people having to get to grips with an archaic system which only a handful of industry financiers and government accountants can truly say they understand.

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