What mad pursuit? What struggle to escape?
When in 1820, in his “Ode on a Grecian urn”, John Keats wrote “What mad pursuit? What struggle to escape?” he could never have imagined what those words might signify two centuries later, in a world where greed and fanaticism had come to rule many human affairs.
Now that many city dwellers have to live or work in high-rise flats or towering
skyscrapers, the question of escaping from them in an emergency, whether caused
by floods, earthquakes or insane bombers, has taken on added urgency.
In Science for 14 October the problem has been outlined. In the aerial strike
on the World Trade Centre in September 2001, the collapse of the two towers killed
some 2,750 people. It has been calculated that, had
the towers contained their full quota of occupants, some 14,000 deaths would
have resulted from the blocking of staircases. Improving the situation, it is
claimed, demands a deeper understanding of the collective behaviour of crowds.
A team led by a computer scientist at the Maia Institute in Monaco has secretly
filmed pedestrian movements in 10 cities and has measured different patterns
of walking. Pedestrians in London, they found, move faster than those in New
York. The researchers are seeking rules to describe how individuals unconsciously
navigate crowded spaces without collision.
When fear is prominent, other factors arise. The more urgently people want to
leave a crowded room with narrow exits, the longer it takes for them to get out.
A study has shown that the optimum exit speed is about 1.38m per second. The
tendency to look to others for support in an emergency impedes movement, and
architectural design and evacuation planning must be taken into account in reducing
the peril.
Until new tall buildings can be replaced with others of better design, efforts
should be directed towards better emergency arrangements. Lifts should be redesigned
to be usable during emergencies, with independent power supplies and computer
controls that prevent doors opening on a burning floor. New escape routes linking
one building with another are desirable. The prime need is for better stairs,
better lifts and improved fire drills to guide the movement of crowds.
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