Great expectations
Crystal ball gazing is notoriously difficult. That does not mean that the process is not worthwhile, if only because it gives us the opportunity to take stock of the present and to decide what things are working, what things can safely be consigned to history and what things are valuable but require development.
The decision by the Council of the Royal Pharmaceutical Society to launch
a consultation into the future of pharmacy — “Pharmacy
20:20”— and
to develop a socially responsible vision of where pharmacy will be by
the year 2020 (p277) is a case in point.
“Pharmacy 20:20” is the child of “Pharmacy in a new
age” (PIANA),
which was launched in 1995 and which is widely thought to have made a
significant contribution to the development of the political pharmacy
agenda over the past decade.
The hardest part for the crystal ball gazers will be deciding how far
technologies will develop by 2020 and what impact they will have on the
profession and patients.
Fifteen years ago, did anybody really understand that information and
communication technologies, for example, would have changed as much as
they have done? Will there be developments in the next 15 years that
are beyond even the wildest imaginings of science fiction writers?
Will a combination of nanotechnology and genomics completely change the
way medicines are developed, prescribed and administered?
These are just a couple of the issues that might be considered. There
will be a great deal riding on the back of “Pharmacy 20:20” since
there will be expectations both in government and the profession that
it can play as significant a role as PIANA has done.
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