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Vol 276 No 7396 p439
15 April 2006

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Letters to the Editor

PSNC

Why is the PSNC so unsure of its position?

From Mr D. R. Kent, MRPharmS

Your report on the revelation by Sue Sharpe, chief executive of the Pharmaceutical Services Negotiating Committee, that in 2006–07 there are likely to be fewer than 260 independent pharmacies dispensing between 1,100 and 2,000 items monthly (PJ, 1 April, p372) and that fewer than 100 may close in 2008, cannot pass without comment.

This claim was made at the local pharmaceutical committees’ conference on 22 March and, when it was challenged, the conference was told that it had come from the Department of Health; further details when requested were withheld.

The latest published figures (Statistical Bulletin 2006/01) indicate that in 2005 there were 873 pharmacies dispensing fewer than 2,000 items per month, of which approximately 600 dispense between 1,100 and 1,999 items per month; there is no published evidence of the substantial drop which would be necessary to support the PSNC’s claim. If we assume the same proportion of independent and company pharmacies in this target group as in the total number of registered pharmacies then there were 288 independent pharmacies during the period to which the bulletin refers. This is, in fact, probably an underestimate.

Where, then, have the 188 or so missing independent pharmacies gone?

The answer could be that the PSNC expects them to close between now and the end of the so called “period of protection” with the final 100 closing at that time; and if this does in fact take place it will be a direct consequence of PSNC remuneration policy. With these independents dispensing between 1,100 and 1,999 items per month standing to lose up to £20,000 of their net profit with no reduction in expenses it is likely that the majority will fail.

There is no logic to the PSNC putting off a decision on varying the current remuneration model when pharmacies, by the PSNC’s own admission, will fail. If there is cause to vary the current remuneration model in 2007 or 2008 then that also pertains today. In the meantime, the lower dispensing volume contractors are living with the stress of not knowing whether they will have a viable business in 2008.

The PSNC suggests that these contractors serve no purpose; they are wrong. To put their contribution into perspective, a pharmacy dispensing 1,800 items per month is dispensing for about 48 patients per day or about double the number of patients seen by a GP. Has anyone suggested that GPs with smaller lists should also have their remuneration severely reduced? These pharmacies provide a valuable personal service to their patients; it is not their fault that their better placed colleagues take most of the available prescriptions.

Another unexplored consideration is where the young aspiring independent contractor will find an affordable first pharmacy after 2008. The PSNC is pushing our profession further into the company-dominated scenario.

To come back to my opening premise, one really has to ask why the PSNC is so unsure of its position that it has to put forward unsupported, and plainly ludicrous, statistics to support an untenable position. The question of whether the PSNC acts in the best interests of all those from whom it collects levies also needs answering. The lifeline you report is illusory; these pharmacies may be “on the agenda” but being on an agenda is a euphemism for “do not worry us now” or possibly in the future.

David Kent
Secretary
Camden and Islington Local Pharmaceutical Committee

 

SUE SHARPE, chief executive, PSNC, replies:

Mr Kent is confusing figures. As the article to which he refers makes clear, the numbers I referred to are those for England alone. The figures he quotes are those in the NHS Statistics for England and Wales.

I estimated that in 2006–07 there will be fewer than 100 independently owned pharmacies in England that are not essential small pharmacy LPS pharmacies, that will dispense between 1,100 and 2,000 items. Analysis of the Statistical Bulletin he cites tends to support this.

The Statistical Bulletin provides figures for the numbers of independent pharmacies in England and Wales dispensing between 1,001 and 2,000 items monthly (this figure is calculated by deducting the number of pharmacies owned by chains of more than five pharmacies from the total number of pharmacies, for this dispensing volume):

1999–2000

798

2000–2001

701

2001–2002

564

2002–2003

497

2003–2004

435

2004–2005

383

If, as Mr Kent assumes, 10 per cent of these dispense between 1,000 and 1,100 items, those dispensing between 1,100 and 2,000 items in 2004–2005 was around 345.

The trend over the past five years has been an annual average of 20 per cent reduction of pharmacies dispensing these volumes (due largely to prescription volumes generally increasing — the statistics to which Mr Kent refers confirm that over that five-year period, the total number of pharmacies has remained fairly constant). Assuming that the trend of reducing numbers continues, by 2006–07 the number of independent pharmacies in England and Wales dispensing between 1,100 and 2,000 items would be 221. Wales has about 7 per cent of the pharmacies, so 15 of these could be in Wales, leaving 206 independent pharmacies in England dispensing between 1,100 and 2,000 items.

There is an estimate of 230 essential small pharmacies entitled to the ESP LPS that are protected through the ESP LPS scheme negotiated by the PSNC. A substantial portion of the ESP LPS pharmacies would be dispensing between 1,100 and 2,000 items.

My estimate, therefore, seems eminently reasonable.

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