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PJ Online homeThe Pharmaceutical Journal
Vol 277 No 7414 p211
19 August 2006

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Early forecasts show a tiny surplus for NHS in England

Early financial forecasts (PDF 520K) for the NHS in England published by the Department of Health last week show a surplus of £18m for 2006–07 after application of a £350m contingency created by strategic health authorities. The total budget for the year is more than £80bn.

But the 120 NHS organisations that expect deficits are forecasting a total gross deficit of £883m between them. This compares favourably with last year’s total gross deficit of £1,227m incurred by 174 NHS organisations.

Health minister Lord Warner said that the forecast showed that the NHS is on track to achieve financial balance by the end of the year. However, he warned: “There should be no trade-off between improving the quality of patient care and actions to improve financial management.”

SHAs have been authorised to make loan agreements with primary care trusts in order to bring regional health economies into balance, but these loans will have to be repaid with interest.

Unexplained variations A King’s Fund briefing published earlier this month found variations in primary care trust spending that are only partially explained by variations in local populations. This leaves unanswered questions, the briefing says, about why PCTs reach different decisions about their spending priorities and whether variations have adverse effects on equity and efficiency. For example, Islington PCT spent seven times as much per head on mental health services in 2004–05 as Bracknell Forest PCT. Across England, there is a four-fold variation in spending on cancer, a three-fold variation on circulatory diseases and an eight-fold variation on musculoskeletal problems.

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