Virus over the horizon
The strain of influenza virus known as H5N1 is giving rise to great anxiety as it makes its appearance in different places. Several articles on the subject appear in the 23 November issue of the New England Journal of Medicine. Given the number of cases of H5N1 influenza that have
occurred in humans, which is 251 up to September last, and with a mortality
rate of more than 50 per cent, it has been considered prudent to work
out robust plans for dealing with a likely pandemic.
In South East Asia, where influenza appeared in 1957 and 1968, multiple
clades of the virus emerged. In 1996, the H5N1 virus was detected in
Guangdong Province, China, following where geese were first killed. In
the following year, the virus spread from poultry markets in Hong Kong
and killed six of the 18 humans infected. Culling all Hong Kong poultry
controlled the first wave, but the virus circulated among otherwise healthy
ducks in the Chinese coastal provinces.
Until May 2005, the H5N1 viruses were confined to South East Asia but
after the infection of wild birds in Qinghai Lake, they spread westwards
and killed swans and geese in Europe, India and Africa. Highly pathogenic
strains, which infected humans, were detected in Turkey.
Unfortunately, different clades and subclades may make different vaccines
necessary to control them, although clades may cross-protect against
fatal influenza. Neuraminidase inhibitors (eg, oseltamivir) have to be
commenced within two days to protect humans, and delay in starting treatment
may lead to the production of resistant strains of virus. A polymerase
chain reaction with nasopharyngeal specimens may be used in diagnosis.
A vaccination strategy for poultry, using inactivated oil emulsion preparations
has been useful, but probably does not control spread in waterfowl.
Meanwhile the number of infections in humans continues to increase. The
virus is always changing. The seasonality of H5N1 resembles that of human
influenza, transmission being greater in the cooler months. It is speculated
whether it can cross from Eurasia to the Americas and another question
is whether or not wild migratory birds can carry it from the north into
commercial poultry in Europe, Africa and America.
Back to Top
|