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Vol 277 No 7430 p680
9 December 2006

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Pandemic flu an ethical dilemma

AP Photo/Kin Cheung

Protective masks

A public issue of protective masks is unlikely in the UK

Pandemic flu, when it comes, will pose an ethical dilemma for health professionals who are likely to feel conflicting obligations towards patients and to members of their own families.

Speaking at a Hospital Pharmacists Group conference on emergency planning last week, Lindsey Davies, national director of pandemic influenza preparedness at the Department of Health, said: “We are looking at the human resource issues of how far can and should you expect people to do their duty, and to whom. There are some real ethical issues there.”

She said that it was highly likely that schools would be closed locally for between three and six weeks because children were “super-spreaders” of flu. Research was being commissioned on the likely impact of this on the workforce and on the provision of alternative child-care arrangements.

Professor Davies added that local planners were actively considering the potential for bringing back recently retired staff, particularly in primary care, to meet any shortfalls.

The hope was that it would be possible to reduce the impact of pandemic flu to that of a very bad seasonal flu winter. The first 100 known cases of pandemic flu in the UK will be subject to extensive tests, but once the pandemic starts, the plan will be to “throw everything at it”, Professor Davies said.

Defence in depth

Planners are working on a five-point strategy for “defence in depth”. The planned five strategies are likely to be:

· Hygiene/masks/isolation — public funding for the general issue of masks is unlikely but they are being considered for health and social care workers

· Antivirals — a stockpile sufficient to treat 25 per cent of the population will be provided (Infected people will be told to stay at home and get a friend to collect a supply. Alternatively, the drugs will be delivered. People will be infectious for 24 hours before they experience any symptoms.)

· Antibiotics — to reduce secondary infections

· Prepandemic vaccine — any decision to use a prepandemic vaccine is still to be made

· Pandemic specific vaccine — cannot be produced in advance or in large enough quantities to impact on the first wave of infection; could possibly be produced quickly enough for a second wave

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