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Vol 278 No 7451 p546
12 May 2007

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Deaths from air pollution may rise as climate changes

Changes in air pollution over the next half century could cause hundreds of extra deaths and hospital admissions each year, the Department of Health and the Health Protection Agency have warned.

In an update to the 2002 report “Health effects of climate change in the UK”, the DoH and HPA look at areas in which there have been developments since the original research was conducted.

They say that although the levels of some important pollutants may decline over the next 50 years, the concentration of ozone is likely to rise. “The increases are likely to be significant,” the report warns. “With the least constraining assumptions (no threshold of effect assumed) up to 1,500 extra deaths and hospital admissions per annum might be expected.”

The report also suggests that changes in agriculture and wildlife management may increase the incidence of tick-borne diseases and that, although malaria outbreaks in the UK are likely to be rare and on a small scale, prompt reaction to any outbreaks will reduce the chances of endemic malaria transmission in the UK. Consequently, the DoH and HPA argue, a surveillance system should be established to monitor the distribution and abundance of arthropod vectors in the UK.

Health professionals Health professional organisations are well placed to highlight the public health dangers of climate change, the British Medical Association argues in a report this week. They can also catalyse change in the rest of the NHS and draw attention to the health benefits associated with greener economic activity and lifestyles, the BMA says.

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