Are Thursdays wetter?
In
the late 1960s there was some minor excitement among weather experts
following the publication of a note in Weather, the journal of the Royal
Meteorological Society.
A Mr Nicholson claimed that his rainfall records,
over a period of some 14 years, showed that Thursday was the wettest
day of the week, both in terms of the number of rainy days and in the
total amount of rainfall that fell on Thursdays.
There followed some interesting correspondence in that journal, in
which various meteorologists attempted either to prove or disprove
Mr Nicholson’s
assertion, culminating in the throwing of accusations of the misuse of
statistics.
Eventually, Mr Nicholson was advised that his results were due to chance
but that a much longer period of records might, just might, reveal something.
This he did in 1993, with a note both to Weather and to the Independent newspaper.
Mr Nicholson’s records showed that after nearly 40 years, both
his own rainfall records from his garden in Middlesex and those of official
observing sites near London and Brighton indicated that Thursday was
still the wettest day of the week. Sunday had the lowest rainfall of
the seven days.
Again, statisticians vied to castigate Mr Nicholson’s results as
being due to chance alone.
On rereading this correspondence in my archives recently, I decided to
look at my own long-term weather records, fortunately kept on a computer
database, which makes analysis simple. I was astonished to find that
Thursday was indeed the wettest day, both in frequency of rainy days
and in the total amount of rain falling on Thursdays.
Admittedly, Thursday
was only the wettest by a smallish margin, and this would probably not
stand up to statistical scrutiny, but the preponderance of wet Thursdays
was plainly visible. Sunday, by contrast, in both my records and those
of Mr Nicholson, had the least rain.
Now, the name Thursday is traditionally said to be Thor’s day after
the Norse god. Thunder in Norse mythology was the sound of Thor’s
hammer.
Is it possible that in millennia past, before recorded history and certainly
before the keeping of weather records, there was a weekly weather cycle,
which resulted in what we call Thursday being the day on which rain most
often fell (and when there were more frequent thunderstorms)?
Likewise, could Sunday have been the day of the week which was more often
fine and sunny?
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